Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: iasi open: mayar sherif vs oleksandra oliynykova. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mayar Sherif and Oleksandra Oliynykova in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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