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توقع: Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner 100% Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna 74% Completed Match 50% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $320K Closes: 27 Aug 2026
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توقع: Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner100%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna74%
Completed Match50%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner50%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: sion: tommaso compagnucci vs juan manuel la serna. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will re…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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