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توقع: Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot 100% Completed Match 100% Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 Winner 100% Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $124K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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توقع: Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot100%
Completed Match100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 Winner100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 Winner100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Game Spread +/-0.5100%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 21.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.50%
Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

The توقع: Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Harold Mayot in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Harold Mayot. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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