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توقع: Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell 100% Completed Match 100% Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 1 Winner 100% Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $172K Closes: 19 Sept 2026
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توقع: Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell100%
Completed Match100%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 1 Winner100%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Match O/U 21.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Match O/U 22.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Match O/U 23.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 2 Winner0%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

توقع: Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Max Purcell in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Phan Thiet 3: Ilia Simakin vs Max Purcell. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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