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توقع: Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 1 Winner 100% Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $414K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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توقع: Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 1 Winner100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Match O/U 21.5100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Match O/U 22.5100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Match O/U 23.5100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva0%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 2 Winner0%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Linda Klimovicova’s Warsaw meeting with Elizara Yaneva is a lower-tier WTA 125 first-round match on outdoor hard courts, with both players sitting close in the rankings: Yaneva at about No 188 and Klimovicova at about No 206.[1][2] That makes the market’s 0% YES pricing hard to justify on form alone, because the field is narrow and the player with the slightly better ranking is not the one the market is implicitly fading.[1][2]

The recent record also points to a live contest rather than a near-certainty. Yaneva’s 2026 results include wins in Porto and a run of competitive ITF-level matches, while Klimovicova has mixed showings this season but remains active at a higher WTA level, including Australian Open qualifying and a later WTA 125 schedule.[8][11][14] They have no established head-to-head history in the available records, so traders are mainly reading current level, not a known matchup pattern.[3][11]

The main catalyst is simple: whether the match starts and completes before the settlement window closes on 10 August, with the listed start time now shown as 4 August rather than 3 August.[1][2][12] A delay, walkover, or non-completion would matter more than usual because the rules send cancelled or unresolved cases beyond seven days to 50-50, so late schedule changes, withdrawals, or an amended order of play are the key things to watch.[1][2][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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