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توقع: Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova 100% Completed Match 100% Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 1 Winner 100% Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $146K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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توقع: Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova100%
Completed Match100%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 1 Winner100%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 2 Winner100%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Match O/U 21.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Match O/U 22.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Match O/U 23.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Carol Young Suh Lee’s side of this Warsaw match looks like the more established profile on paper, which helps explain why the market is fully priced to her. She has built a solid ITF-level record, has multiple singles titles and a recent doubles title on the WTA 125 circuit, and her best WTA singles ranking reached 166 in February 2026.[1][2] Match-tracking sites also show strong hard-court results and a heavy concentration of wins at lower-tier events, suggesting she is accustomed to these conditions even if she has not yet established herself as a main-tour regular.[7][8][15]

For traders, the key issue is whether there is any late withdrawal, replacement, or scheduling change, because the market only settles on a player if the match is actually completed with a winner. There is no match-specific injury or suspension information in the supplied sources, so any line move would likely come from official order-of-play updates, player availability, or a draw reshuffle rather than from a confirmed medical report.[1][11][19] Lee’s recent results have generally been positive, including a 7-3 run over her last ten matches and a strong win rate over the past 52 weeks, which makes a 100% implied probability understandable if the opponent’s recent level is weaker or less visible in public data.[7]

The historical read is straightforward: markets at this stage usually only break if the favourite is scratched or if the match is not played within the settlement window. With the window running to 2026-08-14T11:30:00Z, any delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date, or an abandoned match without a completed result, would push settlement towards 50-50 under the rules. Until there is formal confirmation that both players are still in the draw and the match is on court, the main risk is not performance but event completion.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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