توقع: Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 5?

Platform comparison

Market context

Atlanta’s high on 5 August is the key number here, with the market tied to the Hartsfield-Jackson station rather than the citywide forecast. The current crowd is clustered in the mid-80s Fahrenheit, with 84–85°F and 86–87°F both priced around 50%, while the market assigns only a 1% chance to 75°F or below and 1% to 94°F or higher.[1][4]

That pricing sits against a late-summer Atlanta baseline that usually points to low-90s daytime highs, with AccuWeather’s August page showing a historical average high of 86°F for 5 August and WeatherSpark describing August as a hot month with typical highs well above the mid-80s.[2][12] Recent summer extremes also show Atlanta can still run hot when conditions line up: the National Weather Service’s summer climate summary lists Atlanta’s 2025 maximum at 100°F, underscoring that the ceiling is much higher than the market’s modal band even if the station-specific daily high often settles lower.[11]

For traders, the main catalysts are the short-range forecast trend, cloud cover, and any shower or thunderstorm timing near peak heating, because those determine whether the day lands in the 84–85°F or 86–87°F bucket, or pushes higher. A morning weather update cited Atlanta around 73°F with low-90s temperatures expected and a chance of showers and thunderstorms over the next couple of days, which supports a warmer-than-average setup but still leaves room for a midday cap if precipitation develops.[9] The resolution source is Weather Underground’s KATL history page, so the final print will depend on the recorded station maximum rather than the broader metro forecast.[3][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 5?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

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What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.