توقع: Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chongqing will experience peak summer heat on 14 August 2026, with the highest temperature recorded at Jiangbei International Airport Station determining the settlement outcome. The city sits in the Yangtze River valley and ranks amongst China's hottest urban centres during August, when subtropical high-pressure systems dominate central China and daytime temperatures routinely exceed 35°C.

Historical August data from Chongqing shows the station has recorded temperatures between 37–40°C in recent years, with 2022 and 2023 both producing daily highs above 38°C during mid-August. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in an outcome below the lowest available range bracket, though this conflicts with the city's established thermal pattern. August typically represents the peak of Chongqing's hot season, with only occasional relief from afternoon thunderstorms that briefly suppress afternoon peaks.

Weather Underground's Daily Observations table—the specified resolution source—captures readings at fifteen-minute intervals, which can differ from summary high-low figures if peak temperatures occur outside standard observation windows. Traders should monitor the Chinese Meteorological Administration's forecasts in early August 2026 for any anomalous patterns, such as persistent cloud cover or unusual monsoon activity, that might suppress typical seasonal maximums. The settlement window closes at midday UTC on 14 August, requiring resolution based on observations through that point rather than the full calendar day.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.