Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Florida State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Florida State 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 94% |
| O/U 42.5 | 92% |
| O/U 50.5 | 90% |
| O/U 48.5 | 89% |
| O/U 52.5 | 80% |
| O/U 54.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 71% |
| 1H Moneyline | 70% |
| O/U 56.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 62% |
| O/U 58.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Alabama O/U 34.5 | 60% |
| O/U 60.5 | 58% |
| Alabama O/U 37.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| O/U 62.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Hill: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keelon Russell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ryan Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ousmane Kromah: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| EJ Crowell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lotzeir Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Daniels: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trae'shawn Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Samuel Singleton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Duce Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rico Scott: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micahi Danzy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derek Meadows: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marshall Pritchett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quintrevion Wisner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayvan Boggs: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Devin Carter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Desirrio Riles: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Landen Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -37.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Alabama O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Florida State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Alabama 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 64.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| O/U 66.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 68.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| O/U 70.5 | 35% |
| Florida State vs. Alabama | 31% |
| Spread -18.5 | 30% |
| Spread -19.5 | 30% |
| Spread -25.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -12.5 | 26% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -23.5 | 9% |
| Spread -27.5 | 8% |
| Spread -33.5 | 8% |
| Spread -30.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Market context
The توقع: Florida State vs. Alabama prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Florida State and Alabama, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. This market…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Florida State vs. Alabama. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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