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توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

"توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 55% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 54% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Volume: $2.3M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?54%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Game 1 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner46%
Both Teams Beat Roshan45%
Match Winner42%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks35%
Any Player Ultra Kill35%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Ultra Kill26%
Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)24%
Any Player Rampage19%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 55% YES probability for توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Iron Wing and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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