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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 91% Odd/Even Total Kills 90% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 81% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 79% Volume: $820K Liquidity: $594K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?91%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?81%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?79%
Game 2 Winner72%
O/U 2.5 Games67%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Match Winner38%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)33%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?10%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to توقع: lol: flyquest vs lyon (bo3) - lcs regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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