Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 79% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| NRFI | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | 42% |
| O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| Extra Innings | 9% |
Market context
The Mariners and Dodgers meet in a game that opened with Seattle priced as a clear underdog, and the current 42% YES implies a tighter contest than the teams’ season records suggest. That sits against a recent head-to-head that has favoured Los Angeles for years: the Dodgers had won 11 straight against Seattle before the Mariners snapped that run with a 7-6 victory on Tuesday, then dropped the next game 4-2 on Wednesday.[4][6][9]
For traders, the most important read-through is whether Seattle’s Tuesday breakout was a one-off or the start of a more sustainable stretch against a high-end opponent. The Mariners have leaned on power in this series, hitting a season-high five homers in the 7-6 win, but they also followed it with a quieter two-run output.[4][2] The Dodgers, meanwhile, have continued to pair run prevention with enough offence to win close games, and the market will be sensitive to any lineup confirmation, late scratches, or pitching changes before first pitch.[2][1]
Because the market stays open if the game is postponed, the main timing risk is a delay that pushes final resolution beyond the scheduled window rather than a clean no-contest. In comparable recent meetings, the Dodgers have generally been the more reliable side over full series, but Seattle’s one-game upset potential is real when it is driving the ball; that makes the 42% line more dependent on the actual starting line-ups and bullpen availability than on the long-run head-to-head alone.[4][6][12]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $484K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →