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توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 63% O/U 8.5 51% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 51% Volume: $484K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.579%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.563%
O/U 8.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
NRFI50%
Spread -1.543%
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers42%
O/U 9.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.538%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.536%
O/U 10.535%
Spread -2.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.530%
Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
Spread -2.522%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

The Mariners and Dodgers meet in a game that opened with Seattle priced as a clear underdog, and the current 42% YES implies a tighter contest than the teams’ season records suggest. That sits against a recent head-to-head that has favoured Los Angeles for years: the Dodgers had won 11 straight against Seattle before the Mariners snapped that run with a 7-6 victory on Tuesday, then dropped the next game 4-2 on Wednesday.[4][6][9]

For traders, the most important read-through is whether Seattle’s Tuesday breakout was a one-off or the start of a more sustainable stretch against a high-end opponent. The Mariners have leaned on power in this series, hitting a season-high five homers in the 7-6 win, but they also followed it with a quieter two-run output.[4][2] The Dodgers, meanwhile, have continued to pair run prevention with enough offence to win close games, and the market will be sensitive to any lineup confirmation, late scratches, or pitching changes before first pitch.[2][1]

Because the market stays open if the game is postponed, the main timing risk is a delay that pushes final resolution beyond the scheduled window rather than a clean no-contest. In comparable recent meetings, the Dodgers have generally been the more reliable side over full series, but Seattle’s one-game upset potential is real when it is driving the ball; that makes the 42% line more dependent on the actual starting line-ups and bullpen availability than on the long-run head-to-head alone.[4][6][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 79% for "توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $484K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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