Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
77% | 23% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
77% | 23% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox O/U 2.5 | 77% |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 | 73% |
| Boston Red Sox O/U 3.5 | 68% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Boston Red Sox O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Boston Red Sox O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Extra Innings | 49% |
| O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox | 44% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| NRFI | 29% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| O/U 8.5 | 29% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 21% |
Market context
Market consensus: 77% chance of توقع: cleveland guardians vs. boston red sox. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 24 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Clev…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $263K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox on توقعات كورة
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