Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
80% | 20% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
80% | 20% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 80% |
| O/U 224.5 | 75% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | 70% |
| O/U 227.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| O/U 230.5 | 63% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 232.5 | 58% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| O/U 233.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| O/U 235.5 | 53% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Tre Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| O/U 236.5 | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kawhi Leonard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tre Johnson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tre Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kawhi Leonard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| O/U 237.5 | 47% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 39.5 | 47% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| O/U 238.5 | 45% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| O/U 240.5 | 41% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 34.5 | 41% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -9.5 | 40% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5 | 36% |
| O/U 243.5 | 35% |
| Scottie Barnes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Spread -12.5 | 31% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 29.5 | 31% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5 | 30% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| O/U 246.5 | 28% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 18.5 | 27% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 8.5 | 27% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| O/U 249.5 | 24% |
| Overtime? | 24% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Spread -15.5 | 22% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Spread -18.5 | 16% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Immanuel Quickley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Kawhi Leonard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Kawhi Leonard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
Market context
Market consensus: 80% chance of توقع: raptors vs. wizards. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $315K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Raptors vs. Wizards. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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