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توقع: UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Football snapshot for "توقع: UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 93% O/U 1.5 Rounds 90% O/U 2.5 Rounds 72% O/U 4.5 Rounds 72% Volume: $214K Liquidity: $319K Closes: 25 Oct 2026
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توقع: UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds93%
O/U 1.5 Rounds90%
O/U 2.5 Rounds72%
O/U 4.5 Rounds72%
Fight to Go the Distance?70%
O/U 3.5 Rounds68%
Fight won by decision?67%
Decision or Draw63%
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan42%
Yan to win by KO/TKO?35%
Fight won by KO/TKO?27%
Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO?27%
Dvalishvili in Round 127%
Dvalishvili in Round 227%
Dvalishvili in Round 327%
Dvalishvili in Round 427%
Dvalishvili in Round 527%
Yan in Round 127%
Yan in Round 227%
Yan in Round 327%
Yan in Round 427%
Yan in Round 527%
Ends before Round 5?23%
Ends before Round 4?17%
Fight won by submission?14%
Ends before Round 3?12%
Ends before Round 2?9%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for توقع: UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 93% for "توقع: UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $214K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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